Tropical Storm the storm Intensifies While Heads Toward Jamaica
Tropical Storm the storm is forecast to escalate to a uncommon Category 5 storm as it shifts in the direction of Jamaica, bringing deadly sudden floods and mudslides.
The hurricane, which registered winds of up to 195 km/h as of 06:00 GMT, is currently turning toward the northwest in the Caribbean and is expected to hit the coast by Tuesday, based on data from hurricane specialists.
Advisories of blackouts and damage to infrastructure have been released as Melissa produces up to 30 inches of precipitation and storm surges as high as thirteen feet above normal levels. "Take cover without delay," residents have been advised.
Melissa is the thirteenth hurricane in the ongoing Atlantic season, which usually concludes in late autumn.
Highest-Level Storm Danger
A category five storm is the most powerful category, with sustained winds of at least 252 km/h.
Even though the hurricane is expected to reduce in intensity to a category four hurricane before reaching Jamaica, meteorologists said there was "minimal real distinction in the general consequences" upon making contact with land, and that the cyclone will be "equally strong" when it impacts the island.
Critical Readiness Measures
With storm-force wind and rainfall predicted to begin well before it crosses central Jamaica - including potentially the capital, Kingston - alerts state that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and heavy rainfall has started and will cause devastating and dangerous flash flooding and many landslides," counseled meteorological officials.
The nation's leader Andrew Holness said: "I realize that there are numerous residents who are concerned, who are deeply troubled, and rightfully so: worry is natural.
"However the optimal approach to manage worry and any apprehension and anxiety is to stay ready."
Residents are being instructed to fortify their houses with sandbags and plywood sheets, and to stock up on essentials.
Broader Effects
Warnings are also ongoing for parts of Haiti such as the main city, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and Cuba's eastern region, where this storm is projected to bring comparable impacts by the midweek period.
Mudslides presently generated by the hurricane have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to local authorities.
Future Path
Melissa is forecast to move across Cuba by the middle of the week before moving through the Antillas Mayores and out into the open ocean.
By the point it reaches the Caribbean nation, it is predicted to have reduced to a third-level cyclone.
Climate Background
Even though it is difficult to connect particular meteorological occurrences to climate change, scientists say it is making meteorological events more common and more extreme.
Higher ocean heat create greater water vapor in the atmosphere, helping fuel the formation of hurricanes.
Prior to the beginning of this year's Caribbean cyclone season, meteorological authorities predicted higher-than-average occurrence, referencing heated marine conditions and potential more intense weather patterns around African coastal regions - where Atlantic storms typically originate.